The Real Signal - Housing + Real Estate + Macro

The Real Signal - Housing + Real Estate + Macro

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The Real Signal - Housing + Real Estate + Macro
The Real Signal - Housing + Real Estate + Macro
Yield Curve Inversion and Economic Cycle Analysis

Yield Curve Inversion and Economic Cycle Analysis

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Scott Choppin
Jul 17, 2019
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The Real Signal - Housing + Real Estate + Macro
The Real Signal - Housing + Real Estate + Macro
Yield Curve Inversion and Economic Cycle Analysis
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From Seeking Alpha

Summary

The 10-year/2-year and 10-year/3-month yield curves have provided useful economic and monetary signals.

Historically, the 10-year/2-year yield curve spread has inverted prior to the 10-year/3-month spread.

The current 10-Yr/3-Mo inversion is unprecedented because the 10-Yr/2-Yr has not inverted. 

"According to the Fed, the 10-Yr/2-…

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